Variety The Awards Circuit section is home to all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual participant. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
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OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMIES | TONYS
Emmy predictions for 2024:
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Weekly Commentary (updated: June 17, 2024): In 2022, the TV Academy set a record for supporting drama actor submissions with 436. Judging from 2023’s 346 names, we are left with 217 contenders in the awards discussion, compared to supporting drama actresses with 196. That leaves seven nominees in every category.
Both categories have multiple candidates from the same shows, such as “The Crown” (Khalid Abdalla, Salim Daw, Jonathan Pryce, Elizabeth Debicki, Lesley Manville, Olivia Williams) and “The Morning Show” (Billy Crudup, Mark Duplass, Jon Hamm, Greta Lee, Audra McDonald, Julianna Margulies, Holland Taylor and Karen Pittman). Let’s not forget the largest ensemble to ever land a SAG nomination, HBO’s period drama “The Gilded Age,” which planned to submit thirteen supporting players but ended up with only five players on the roster (Ben Ahlers, Nathan Lane, Robert Sean Leonard, Blake Ritson and John Douglas Thompson).
FX’s “Shо̄gun” is an embarrassment of riches led by Tadanobu Asano and the possibility of two of his co-stars joining him, Takehiro Hira and Tokuma Nishioka. We’ll see if the TV Academy Real loves the epic series.
Is there room for a few surprises? Of course it’s the Emmys. Watch out for Benedict Wong of Netflix’s “3 Body Problem” or Jack Lowden of “Slow Horses,” who could appear alongside his leading co-star Gary Oldman.
Voting in the nomination round opens on June 13 and closes on June 24 at 10:00 PM PT. Voting for peer group-specific top ten round panels (if applicable) will take place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will take place over two evenings on September 7. 8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards airs Sunday, September 15 on ABC.
Read: Variety Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
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Image credits: Netflix
And so are the predicted nominees
Rank Performer and series 1 Tadanobu Asano — “Shogun” (FX) 2 Billy Crudup — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 3 Jon Hamm — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 4 Jonathan Price — “The Crown” (Netflix) 5 Nathan Lane — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 6 Khalid Abdalla — “The Crown” (Netflix) 7 Takehiro Hira — “Shogun” (FX) Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series -
Image credits: Lucasfilm
Next in line
Rank Performer and series 8 Ke Huy Quan — “Loki” (Disney+) 9 Mark Duplas — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 10 Benedict Wong — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 11 Tokuma Nishioka — “Shogun” (FX) 12 Salim Daw — “The Crown” (Netflix) 13 Benny Safdie — “The Curse” (Showtime) 14 Hayden Christiansen — “Ahsoka” (Disney+) 15 Jack Lowden — “Slow Horses” (Apple TV+) Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series -
Image credits: Prime Video
Also in battle
Rank Performer and series 16 Liam Cunningham — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 17 Owen Wilson — “Loki” (Disney+) 18 Wendell Pierce — “Elsbeth” (CBS) 19 Robert Sean Leonard — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 20 Aaron Moten — “Fallout” (Prime Video) 21 Moises Arias — “Fallout” (Prime Video) 22 John Ortiz — “The Green Veil” (The Network) 23 Jason Clarke — “Winning Time: Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max) 24 Michael Chiklis — “Saving Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max) 25 Bradley Whitford — “Parish” (AMC) Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series -
Eligible Artists (Supporting Drama Actor)
Image credits: COURTESY of NETFLIX
**Officially submitted and on the ballot for the Emmy nominations.
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More information (supporting drama actor)
Image credits: Gareth Gatrell / Marvel Studios
Category winner 2023: Matthew Macfadyen as Tom – “Succession” (HBO) – Season 4
2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (All Dates Subject to Change)
- Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
- February 29: Entries open
- May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
- June 13: Voting in the nomination round begins
- June 24: Nominating round voting ends at 10:00 PM PT
- June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten round panels (if applicable)
- July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
- July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions in the nominations.
- August 5: Find-round videos available to watch.
- August 15: Final round voting begins.
- August 26: Final round voting ends at 10:00 PM PST.
- September 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
- Sunday, September 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards air on ABC.
Emmy prediction categories
Drama Comedy Limited/Movie Drama series Comedy series Limited or anthology series Main actor (drama) Main actor (comedy) Main actor (limited, film) Lead actress (drama) Lead actress (comedy) Lead actress (limited, film) Supporting role (drama) Supporting role (Comedy) Supporting role (limited, film) Supporting role (drama) Supporting role (comedy) Supporting Actress (limited, film) Directing, writing (drama) Directing, writing (comedy) Directing, writing (limited, film) Guest acting (Drama) Guest acting (comedy) Television movie Talk series and scripted variety Game show/host Reality programs Documentary (series, special, hosted non-fiction, exceptional merit) Variety Special (live, pre-recorded) Animation/voice-over Primetime Emmy 2024 Prediction Categories About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are presented by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Founded in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are divided into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for Outstanding Performance and Production; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which recognize significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period generally runs from June 1 to May 31 of each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has more than 20,000 members across 30 professional groups, including artists, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
